Is Elon Musk a brilliant
innovator, or is he just smoking dope?
Well, we know the answer to
the second question as a viral
video has shown him puffing
(legal) weed on a talk show. The man is under a lot of stress, right?
There’s no doubt that Musk’s
privately funded ventures in space travel and electric cars are prescient,
maybe even profitable someday. But his
transportation vision for Hyperloop has yet to be proven viable.
Hyperloop is Musk’s 2013
vision of high-speed underground tube-travel in a near-vacuum using liner
induction motors akin to maglev. The
concept has already gained “traction” with private companies like Virgin Hyperloop
One and HyperloopTT, which are looking to commercialize Musk’s idea.
They’ve signed deals in
South Korea, India, the United Arab Emirates, China, Indonesia and
Ukraine. In the US, Virgin is working
with the states of Missouri and Colorado on projects, envisioning things like a
250 mile run from St Louis to Kansas City in 28 minutes (vs three and a half
hours by car). They say that development
costs would be 40% less than those for high speed rail.
Even some in Connecticut are
thinking about tube travel in the Northeast.
State Representative Tom O’Dea (R – New Canaan) has been in touch with
Musk’s Boring Company (that’s its name, not an adjective) which says they are
“literally on board with the idea of Hyperloop” between New York and Boston.
So far Musk’s only
demonstration project has been a bumpy ride in a Tesla on a short 1.14 mile
stretch of tunnel under Hawthorne CA it cost him $10 million to drill. Reporters who tried the system in December seemed underwhelmed as speeds hit only 49
mph in a self-driving Tesla with special guide-wheels. Musk told skeptics he could get speeds up to
150 mph over time. But to me the whole
thing looks sketchy.
First, you have to use a
Tesla. And that has to go underground on
an elevator. Imagine the lines you’ll wait in for that. Once underway, what happens if there’s a
derailment or crash, or worse yet, a fire?
There are no escape hatches. And
this demonstration project hasn’t even touched on the issues of running in a
sealed pod, in a vacuum using maglev technology.
At his Las Vegas test track,
a scaled down model of a Hyperloop “pod” hit 230 mph, a far cry from rumored
speeds of 700 mph. Clearly, this
technology is not the ride for you if you are claustrophobic.
In fact, Musk’s tube-travel idea
isn’t all that new.
Back in 1904 Robert Goddard,
the father of American rocketry, wrote a paper as a freshman at Worcester
Polytechnic Institute describing a system almost identical to Musk’s. He predicted a high speed “Vactrain”, suspended by magnetic levitation, hurtling through
underground tunnels in a near vacuum. Passengers
would be strapped in for a speedy but exhilarating ride at about 1200 mph,
hurtling you from New York to Boston in ten minutes.
As I’ve written before, pneumatic tube subways
were running, at least on a trial basis, in New York City as early as
1870. The city also used smaller vacuum
tubes to deliver mail over a 27 mile network.
So put that bit of history in
your pipe and smoke it, Elon!
Posted with permission of Hearst CT Media
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